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Superforecasting

Dan Gardner, Philip E. Tetlock, Broadway Books (2016)
ANew York Times Bestseller AnEconomistBest Book of 2015 "The most important book on decision making since Daniel...

Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters... Zobraziť viac

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